What the world’s prediction markets expect — read as news
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?: 24% → 93%
Automated edition: today's largest probability moves, reported directly from market prices.
Today's automated edition — the numbers, straight from the markets. The crowd's biggest repricings: Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? moved from 24% to 93% over the last 24h; Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year? moved from 15% to 98% over the last 7d; Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026? moved from 28% to 92% over the last 24h; Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 24, 2026? moved from 4% to 69% over the last 24h. Full section tables below.
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?
15%→98%7d
$38,946 traded · 24h
Geopolitics
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
28%→92%24h
$52,102 traded · 24h
Sports
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 24, 2026?
3.5%→69%24h
$10,080 traded · 24h
Geopolitics
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?
29%→80%7d
$16,678 traded · 24h
Sports
Will Richard Carapaz be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?
24%→78%7d
$9,235 traded · 24h
Culture
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?
18%→60%24h
$32,492 traded · 24h
Economy & Crypto
Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?
35%→74%24h
$12,879 traded · 24h
Geopolitics
Markets price: Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...? — July 31 at 93% (+70 pts/24h, +32 pts/7d); Who will Trump meet with in July? — Benjamin Netanyahu at 92% (+64 pts/24h, +30 pts/7d).
Markets price: Total commitments for the RipCars public sale on MetaDAO — >32.5M at 74% (+40 pts/24h); 2nd Largest Company end of July? — NVIDIA at 30% (+22 pts/24h, -10 pts/7d).
Markets price: Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...? — August 7 at 27% (-34 pts/24h, -17 pts/7d); Which company has best AI model end of August? — Google at 4% (-3 pts/7d).
Markets price: NBA: How Much Will LeBron’s Next Contract Be? — Under $4M at 98% (+67 pts/24h, +82 pts/7d); NBA: Will LeBron James Sign By…? — July 24, 2026 at 69% (+65 pts/24h).
Markets price: "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office — 86-92m at 60% (+43 pts/24h); Highest grossing movie in 2026? — Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 82% (+1 pts/24h, +6 pts/7d).