What the world’s prediction markets expect — read as news
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?: 8% → 61%
Automated edition: today's largest probability moves, reported directly from market prices.
Today's automated edition — the numbers, straight from the markets. The crowd's biggest repricings: Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m? moved from 8% to 61% over the last 24h; Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? moved from 14% to 60% over the last 7d; Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? moved from 58% to 97% over the last 24h; Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? moved from 26% to 64% over the last 24h. Full section tables below.
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?
7.9%→61%24h
$23,574 traded · 24h
Geopolitics
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
14%→60%7d
$23,522 traded · 24h
Culture
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?
58%→97%24h
$86,558 traded · 24h
Culture
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?
26%→64%24h
$24,708 traded · 24h
Sports
Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 Wyndham Championship?
48%→6.2%24h
$6,933 traded · 24h
Politics & Elections
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
64%→98%7d
$12,262 traded · 24h
Geopolitics
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?
42%→8%7d
$9,768 traded · 24h
Geopolitics
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?
58%→32%24h
$166,266 traded · 24h
Geopolitics
Markets price: Who will Trump speak to in July? — Emmanuel Macron at 32% (-25 pts/24h, -17 pts/7d); Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? — December 31, 2026 at 60% (-3 pts/24h, +47 pts/7d).
Markets price: #1 Searched Movie on Google 2026? — The Odyssey at 38% (+16 pts/24h); Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...? — August 14 at 71% (+10 pts/24h).
Markets price: "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office — 52-57m at 61% (+53 pts/24h, +18 pts/7d); Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? — Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? at 97% (+39 pts/24h).