What the world’s prediction markets expect — read as news
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?: 92% → 46%
Automated edition: today's largest probability moves, reported directly from market prices.
Today's automated edition — the numbers, straight from the markets. The crowd's biggest repricings: Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? moved from 92% to 46% over the last 24h; Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027? moved from 76% to 26% over the last 24h; Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? moved from 59% to 95% over the last 7d; Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? moved from 76% to 40% over the last 24h. Full section tables below.
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
59%→95%7d
$21,438 traded · 24h
Science & Tech
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?
76%→40%24h
$18,290 traded · 24h
Politics & Elections
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?
64%→92%7d
$21,773 traded · 24h
Geopolitics
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?
48%→24%7d
$100,139 traded · 24h
Geopolitics
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
50%→72%7d
$84,417 traded · 24h
Politics & Elections
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
12%→34%7d
$20,020 traded · 24h
Geopolitics
Markets price: Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...? — October 24 at 70% (+40 pts/7d); Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...? — December 31 at 24% (-6 pts/24h, -24 pts/7d).
Kim Jong Un18%▼ 12 24hKing Mohammed VI7.5%▼ 3 24hiShowSpeed6.8%▲ 3 24hVladimir Putin84%▼ 2 24h
Politics & Elections
Markets price: Next Prime Minister of Romania? — Luca Niculescu at 95% (-1 pts/24h, +36 pts/7d); Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory — Remain 40–60% at 92% (+14 pts/24h, +28 pts/7d).
Flávio Bolsonaro77%▼ 2 24hLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva22%▲ 1 24h
Economy & Crypto
Markets price: Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $50M at 46% (-45 pts/24h, -23 pts/7d); Will Papertrade launch a token by ___? — June 30, 2027 at 26% (-50 pts/24h, -47 pts/7d).
Markets price: Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...? — October 24 at 40% (-36 pts/24h, -8 pts/7d); Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...? — October 20 at 12% (-19 pts/24h, +2 pts/7d).
Markets price: Who will perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? — Post Malone at 22% (-31 pts/24h, -7 pts/7d); Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? — Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? at 70% (+13 pts/24h, +12 pts/7d).