What the world’s prediction markets expect — read as news
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?: 36%…
Automated edition: today's largest probability moves, reported directly from market prices.
Today's automated edition — the numbers, straight from the markets. The crowd's biggest repricings: Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%? moved from 36% to 98% over the last 7d; US imports Russian diesel by November 30? moved from 29% to 88% over the last 7d; Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? moved from 50% to 5% over the last 7d; Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? moved from 62% to 97% over the last 7d. Full section tables below.
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?
36%→98%7d
$15,052 traded · 24h
Geopolitics
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?
29%→88%7d
$5,002 traded · 24h
Politics & Elections
Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
50%→4.8%7d
$32,917 traded · 24h
Sports
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
62%→97%7d
$187,546 traded · 24h
Science & Tech
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
74%→32%7d
$18,557 traded · 24h
Economy & Crypto
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?
27%→65%24h
$23,178 traded · 24h
Economy & Crypto
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?
60%→88%7d
$9,182 traded · 24h
Politics & Elections
Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?
94%→68%24h
$19,671 traded · 24h
Geopolitics
Markets price: US imports Russian diesel by...? — November 30 at 88% (+5 pts/24h, +59 pts/7d); Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...? — November 30 at 55% (-4 pts/24h, +16 pts/7d).
Netanyahu - Israel PM39%▲ 6 24hNone before 202744%▼ 2 24hSánchez - Spanish PM3.7%▼ 3 24hXi - General Secretary of the CCP3%▲ 2 24h
Politics & Elections
Markets price: Serbia Parliamentary Election: Turnout — 66-70% at 98% (+4 pts/24h, +62 pts/7d); Next Prime Minister of Serbia? — Dejan Bodiroga at 5% (+5 pts/24h, -45 pts/7d).
November 3034%▼ 2 24hDecember 3160%▼ 4 24hOctober 313%▼ 1 24h
Economy & Crypto
Markets price: Anthropic IPO by __? — November 20, 2026 at 65% (+38 pts/24h); In which month will Anthropic IPO? — November 2026 at 88% (+25 pts/24h, +28 pts/7d).
Markets price: Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...? — October 31 at 32% (+1 pts/24h, -41 pts/7d); OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...? — December 31, 2027 at 48% (-8 pts/24h, -2 pts/7d).
Markets price: Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? — Erling Haaland at 7% (-72 pts/24h); MLB World Series Champion 2026 — Milwaukee Brewers at 97% (+14 pts/24h, +35 pts/7d).